Weighted Margin

Weighted Margin is my own analytic ranking system which attempts to rank teams based on their expected future performance.  This is not the same as the S-curve ranking, which is used to judge past performance and rank the teams for tournament selection.

Updated: 3/11

 
Team Weighted Margin
Virginia 31.8044
Villanova 31.578
Duke 29.0016
N. Carolina 28.4232
Kansas 26.9456
Cincinnati 26.5488
Purdue 25.3568
Xavier 25.2812
Tennessee 24.32
Kentucky 24.3164
Wichita St. 23.7372
Auburn 23.3888
TCU 22.7056
Michigan St. 22.6904
Arizona 22.424
Ohio St. 22.0352
Clemson 21.9328
Texas Tech 21.4876
Nevada 20.7708
Texas A&M 20.7204
West Virginia 20.5036
Florida 20.2864
Michigan 19.9304
Gonzaga 19.618
Seton Hall 19.2284
Arkansas 18.9964
Houston 18.7484
Texas 18.7044
Butler 18.4876
Alabama 18.4152
Missouri 18.408
Louisville 18.29
Baylor 18.0896
USC 17.8364
Creighton 17.5916
Arizona St. 17.3404
Syracuse 16.8592
UCLA 16.814
Oklahoma 16.5672
Miami (FL) 16.4864
Rhode Island 16.3804
Notre Dame 16.1124
Kansas St. 16.048
Virginia Tech 15.5068
Florida St. 15.0544
Maryland 15.0296
Marquette 15.012
LSU 14.8924
Loyola Chicago 14.8152
N.C. State 14.6332
Oregon 14.3804
Utah 14.3024
Providence 14.26
Buffalo 14.2072
Vanderbilt 14.1512
Oklahoma St. 14.0156
Penn St. 13.9156
Georgia 13.7472
St. Mary’s 13.6612
South Carolina 13.44
Middle Tenn. St. 13.3832
W. Kentucky 13.3496
Mississippi St. 13.2604
S. Diego St. 13.2544
Temple 13.1948
St. John’s 12.9576
St. Bonaventure 12.628
N. Mex. St. 12.454
Mississippi 12.3988
Davidson 12.1928
Boise St. 11.8172
SMU 11.7112
Stanford 11.5856
UCF 11.082
Wisconsin 10.9072
Boston Coll. 10.8756
Nebraska 10.6336
Washington 10.516
Murray St. 9.9048
BYU 9.8124
Wake Forest 9.7624
Oregon St. 9.5796
Colorado 9.424
Northeastern 9.3748
Fresno St. 9.0356
Tulsa 8.888
Indiana 8.8784
S. Dakota St. 8.7652
LA Lafayet. 8.5572
Old Dominion 8.45
Iowa St. 8.4148
Toledo 8.3128
Northern Iowa 8.2176
Iowa 8.0772
DePaul 7.7352
Belmont 7.6528
Georgia Tech 7.5812
Missouri St. 7.5544
Utah Valley 7.4488
Illinois St. 7.174
South Dakota 7.1416
UNLV 7.138
Vermont 7.0284
Furman 7.012
New Mexico 6.9
Illinois 6.7676
Georgetown 6.6332
Northwestern 6.6012
Southern Ill. 6.5372
E. Tennessee St. 6.4756
Wyoming 5.996
Connecticut 5.8336
Montana 5.5244
Evansville 5.3876
Minnesota 5.2948
William & Mary 5.0288
Indiana St. 5.0152
N.C. Greensboro 4.9808
Bradley 4.742
Rutgers 4.4256
Grand Canyon 4.228
UAB 4.206
Bucknell 4.1708
VCU 4.0412
Dayton 3.7424
Tulane 3.5056
North. Kentucky 3.4244
St. Joseph’s 3.39
Valparaiso 3.3752
San Francisco 3.3568
Memphis 3.3568
Washington St. 3.2856
Saint Louis 3.1696
UC Irvine 3.1008
Marshall 3.0448
Utah St. 2.7212
Rider 2.6592
Charleston 2.5404
Northern Colorado 2.4276
San Diego 2.3388
East. Michigan 2.3284
TX Arlington 2.2652
Fla Gulf Coast 1.992
Georgia St. 1.8764
Ball St. 1.872
UC Davis 1.8232
Iona 1.6164
Drake 1.444
Pacific 1.4124
Hofstra 1.3796
Towson 1.3084
La Salle 1.1384
CSU Fullerton 0.9888
Wofford 0.6252
Richmond 0.6176
Pittsburgh 0.5012
Mercer 0.4108
S.F. Austin 0.3908
Ohio 0.2664
Kent St. 0.0868
Cent. Michigan 0.0304
W. Michigan 0.008
Monmouth -0.014
UCSB -0.0144
Pennsylvania -0.12
Louisiana Tech -0.26
Jacksonville St. -0.2884
Canisius -0.3248
Idaho -0.5004
Wright St. -0.5712
California -0.66
Eastern Wash. -0.766
Seattle -0.7808
Weber St. -0.7864
Georgia Southern -0.8048
Miami (OH) -1.0592
Lipscomb -1.138
Long Beach St. -1.4904
Geo. Wash. -1.5224
Winthrop -1.5304
Austin Peay -1.5396
Troy -1.8124
CSU Bakersfield -1.8324
Albany -1.9072
Wagner -2.0288
Nicholls -2.106
N. Dak. St. -2.1372
Harvard -2.1792
Portland St. -2.2836
Tennessee St. -2.3208
Hawaii -2.612
Oakland -2.9036
UMBC -3.0488
IPFW -3.1424
Colorado St. -3.1952
N.C. Asheville -3.2852
UTSA -3.4608
Bowling Green -3.7224
Umass -3.86
Radford -3.9152
Akron -3.9548
SE Louisiana -3.9832
St. Francis (PA) -4.05
Southern Miss -4.1512
Fairfield -4.3556
Liberty -4.5004
N.C. Wilmington -4.5476
Tennessee Tech -4.5844
Central Arkansas -4.6404
Oral Roberts -4.7016
Elon -4.724
Niagara -4.7564
Delaware -4.9296
Air Force -5.0736
North Dakota -5.0772
Duquesne -5.1288
James Madison -5.1468
Stony Brook -5.1588
Coastal Car. -5.2592
Morehead St. -5.3008
Princeton -5.3292
Yale -5.5648
North Florida -5.6876
George Mason -5.7132
Manhattan -5.7464
Northern Illinois -6.006
North Texas -6.0952
Sam Houston St. -6.1212
Ill. Chicago -6.2588
Mo. Kansas City -6.5068
Appalachian St. -6.6364
LA Monroe -6.6364
Drexel -6.672
Loyola Marymount -6.6904
Savannah St. -6.8556
South Florida -6.9656
TX Rio Grande Valley -7.0196
UTEP -7.1716
Western Carolina -7.2316
Hartford -7.2568
Robert Morris -7.342
Denver -7.3808
Colgate -7.5592
Lamar -7.7844
St. Peter’s -7.822
Portland -7.9596
Nebraska Omaha -7.96
Florida Atlantic -7.9856
Samford -7.9924
UC Riverside -8.1952
N.J.I.T. -8.388
Texas Southern -8.458
Pepperdine -8.5268
Texas St. -8.574
San Jose St. -8.6652
Milwaukee -8.7272
South Alabama -8.9408
Navy -8.9748
Lehigh -9.0352
Hampton -9.046
East Carolina -9.0892
Eastern Illinois -9.1424
Santa Clara -9.2608
High Point -9.3376
Cornell -9.3688
Southern Utah -9.6924
Fordham -9.8344
Mount St. Mary’s -9.8716
Boston U. -9.8972
Columbia -9.9592
Florida Intl. -10.0196
Idaho St. -10.0544
Charleston Sou. -10.0664
Siena -10.1104
SE Missouri St. -10.1292
E. Kentucky -10.2136
Campbell -10.3856
Gardner-Webb -10.546
Prairie View A&M -10.6116
Chattanooga -10.6416
Fair. Dickinson -10.6636
New Orleans -10.996
Sacramento St. -11.1204
AR Little Rock -11.176
Abilene Christian -11.2504
New Hampshire -11.3492
Citadel -11.4176
LIU Brooklyn -11.4428
Kennesaw St. -11.6956
Northern Arizona -11.7096
Arkansas St. -12.6916
Holy Cross -12.7324
Army -12.7484
SIU Edwardsville -12.7736
Lafayette -12.7908
Chicago St. -12.8176
Rice -12.888
Cleveland St. -12.9104
McNeese St. -12.9208
Montana St. -12.9304
Mass-Lowell -13.1496
Green Bay -13.1736
Western Ill. -13.182
Detroit -13.4956
Tenn-Martin -13.502
Brown -13.5104
Charlotte -13.612
Cal Poly -13.7236
Norfolk St. -13.7628
Quinnipiac -13.8204
IUPUI -14.0316
Marist -14.1684
Virginia Military -14.21
Sacred Heart -14.2452
Binghamton -14.396
Jacksonville -15.0056
N.C. A&T -15.3024
Stetson -15.3396
Central Conn. St. -15.5304
St. Francis (NY) -15.6016
Dartmouth -15.8896
American -16.0264
Loyola (MD) -16.1324
Grambling St. -16.4344
Bethune-Cookman -16.7712
Youngstown St. -16.8272
Presbyterian -17.2216
TAMU Corpus Christi -17.3444
Southern -17.4624
N.C. Central -17.786
Longwood -17.8576
AR Pine Bluff -18.086
N’western St. -18.4496
Houston Baptist -18.5096
S.Car. Upstate -18.7252
Alabama St. -18.8876
CSU Northridge -18.8892
Morgan St. -19.2868
Maine -19.38
S. Carolina St. -19.6116
Alcorn St. -20.5088
Florida A&M -20.7268
Bryant -20.9664
Howard -21.0016
Incarnate Word -21.058
Jackson St. -21.3148
Coppin St. -21.472
Miss. Valley St. -22.1844
MD Eastern Shore -22.4484
Alabama A&M -25.6272
Delaware St. -25.644
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