Weighted Margin

Weighted Margin is my own analytic ranking system which attempts to rank teams based on their expected future performance.  This is not the same as the S-curve ranking, which is used to judge past performance and rank the teams for tournament selection.

Updated: 3/12

Team Weighted Margin
Louisville 30.0135
Villanova 29.6911
Gonzaga 29.1679
Kentucky 29.1391
Florida 28.8623
N. Carolina 28.2515
Kansas 26.8359
Virginia 26.1795
Duke 25.7167
Arizona 25.2215
Baylor 25.0419
Oregon 24.4503
West Virginia 23.8071
Purdue 23.6691
Florida St. 23.1455
Butler 22.6315
St. Mary’s 22.1991
Michigan 21.9843
SMU 21.9591
Oklahoma St. 21.9487
Cincinnati 21.6975
UCLA 21.5627
Minnesota 21.3259
Iowa St. 21.0795
Notre Dame 20.8947
Creighton 20.8711
Wisconsin 20.5795
Vanderbilt 20.3051
Wichita St. 19.6991
South Carolina 19.0543
Clemson 19.0219
Wake Forest 18.7603
Marquette 18.3795
Xavier 18.1179
Rhode Island 18.0647
Dayton 18.0019
Miami (FL) 17.6987
Maryland 17.5707
Michigan St. 17.4067
Arkansas 17.1923
VCU 16.9815
Indiana 16.8423
Northwestern 16.8195
Georgia 16.2819
Kansas St. 15.7175
TCU 15.6627
California 15.6115
Virginia Tech 15.0635
Illinois 14.8691
Nevada 14.8311
Houston 14.3987
Syracuse 14.2479
Pittsburgh 14.2055
Seton Hall 14.1903
USC 14.0307
Tennessee 13.8623
Iowa 13.6707
Providence 13.4507
Ohio St. 13.4095
Texas A&M 13.2591
Utah 13.1807
Alabama 13.0523
N.C. Wilmington 13.0375
Georgetown 12.8147
BYU 12.6687
Texas 12.6051
Illinois St. 12.5783
Middle Tenn. St. 11.8247
Texas Tech 11.5483
Penn St. 11.2507
Nebraska 10.4751
Oklahoma 10.4315
Colorado St. 10.4263
E. Tennessee St. 10.3195
Davidson 9.9983
Georgia Tech 9.9451
Mississippi 9.9367
Stanford 9.7039
Colorado 9.4227
UCF 9.3703
Vermont 9.3555
N.C. State 9.0679
TX Arlington 8.6471
Princeton 8.5847
Charleston 8.5227
S. Diego St. 8.5143
Boise St. 8.4595
Connecticut 8.3359
Richmond 8.3351
St. Bonaventure 8.0351
Mississippi St. 7.7995
New Mexico 7.6595
Bucknell 7.6179
Monmouth 7.4551
San Francisco 7.4363
Auburn 7.1643
St. John’s 6.9863
Memphis 6.9503
George Mason 6.5323
N. Mex. St. 6.2199
Fresno St. 6.1471
Valparaiso 5.9559
Belmont 5.8691
Arizona St. 5.7619
La Salle 5.6963
N.C. Asheville 5.5279
Towson 5.4159
Akron 5.2543
Santa Clara 5.2327
Utah St. 5.1751
Temple 5.1227
Ohio 5.0331
Geo. Wash. 4.9623
Buffalo 4.4715
Boston Coll. 4.4559
Washington 4.3279
Louisiana Tech 4.3127
East. Michigan 4.2703
Mercer 4.2383
Oakland 4.1879
Winthrop 3.8075
Furman 3.6791
CSU Bakersfield 3.5215
William & Mary 3.4687
Tulsa 3.4379
LA Lafayet. 3.4179
Umass 3.3995
LSU 3.2899
Loyola Marymount 3.0939
Rutgers 3.0875
Iona 2.9051
Loyola Chicago 2.8759
Chattanooga 2.8347
Toledo 2.8015
Georgia St. 2.7055
St. Peter’s 2.6495
Missouri 2.5055
Washington St. 2.4287
Siena 2.3819
Harvard 2.3707
Lehigh 2.3683
Wyoming 2.3179
Southern Ill. 2.0819
St. Joseph’s 1.9079
N.C. Greensboro 1.8887
Marshall 1.8815
Northeastern 1.7819
Fla Gulf Coast 1.7695
Evansville 1.6631
Arkansas St. 1.5723
Elon 1.5559
Old Dominion 1.4543
Wofford 1.3991
DePaul 1.3931
W. Michigan 1.3507
Northern Iowa 1.1963
Kent St. 1.1663
Coastal Car. 1.1411
Wright St. 0.9491
Albany 0.9299
Georgia Southern 0.5863
North. Kentucky 0.4491
Samford 0.3707
N. Dak. St. 0.1007
Yale 0.0507
Troy -0.1701
New Hampshire -0.2269
UC Irvine -0.3525
Fordham -0.4193
Missouri St. -0.4601
Grand Canyon -0.6605
IPFW -0.7345
South Dakota -0.7541
East Carolina -0.9229
Hofstra -1.0017
Nebraska Omaha -1.0961
New Orleans -1.2077
Pennsylvania -1.2429
Liberty -1.3889
Pacific -1.5553
Air Force -1.7825
Morehead St. -1.8473
Rice -1.8857
Canisius -1.8909
Tennessee St. -2.0017
Utah Valley -2.0409
San Jose St. -2.0809
S. Dakota St. -2.2149
Duquesne -2.2529
UAB -2.3289
Mo. Kansas City -2.4277
Ball St. -2.5717
Lipscomb -2.8713
Fairfield -2.8757
Green Bay -2.9261
Oregon St. -3.0465
Weber St. -3.2877
Boston U. -3.3937
UMBC -3.4121
Navy -3.4409
Bradley -3.7793
Stony Brook -3.8257
San Diego -3.9149
North Dakota -4.0209
James Madison -4.0305
Indiana St. -4.0321
Texas St. -4.1641
UNLV -4.2237
Gardner-Webb -4.4045
Holy Cross -4.5513
Jacksonville St. -4.5893
Cleveland St. -4.6033
Texas Southern -4.6153
Denver -4.7633
UTEP -4.9457
Mount St. Mary’s -4.9897
Houston Baptist -5.0481
IUPUI -5.0777
Murray St. -5.1461
South Alabama -5.2889
LA Monroe -5.3777
TAMU Corpus Christi -5.4193
Bowling Green -5.9985
Northern Illinois -6.0745
Tulane -6.1241
Saint Louis -6.1601
Ill. Chicago -6.2105
Montana -6.2217
Tenn-Martin -6.2397
Portland -6.3545
Oral Roberts -6.4537
Appalachian St. -6.5713
Charlotte -6.8309
N.C. Central -6.8777
Rider -6.8861
Eastern Wash. -6.9149
Cent. Michigan -6.9857
Pepperdine -7.2525
Drake -7.2805
Long Beach St. -7.3309
Radford -7.3673
W. Kentucky -7.5313
AR Little Rock -7.6057
Sam Houston St. -7.6077
Western Carolina -7.8617
Milwaukee -7.9029
High Point -7.9269
Seattle -8.0401
Columbia -8.0821
South Florida -8.1641
E. Kentucky -8.3465
Delaware -8.3629
S.Car. Upstate -8.3645
Drexel -8.4313
Manhattan -8.4517
S.F. Austin -8.4613
Army -8.4733
Loyola (MD) -8.4869
North Florida -9.2201
Idaho -9.2653
Marist -9.2733
Austin Peay -9.3521
Cornell -9.3773
Niagara -9.7021
Montana St. -9.7517
Miami (OH) -9.7861
Citadel -9.8505
Brown -9.8965
Tennessee Tech -9.9357
Florida Atlantic -9.9397
Youngstown St. -9.9913
Lamar -10.0725
Robert Morris -10.0849
St. Francis (PA) -10.1485
UC Davis -10.1505
McNeese St. -10.3253
Eastern Illinois -10.4933
Detroit -10.5701
Wagner -10.5985
SE Louisiana -10.6569
UTSA -10.8305
Fair. Dickinson -10.9281
Campbell -10.9321
Hawaii -11.0349
SE Missouri St. -11.0993
Kennesaw St. -11.1133
Colgate -11.3289
Bryant -11.5765
Quinnipiac -11.7481
Alcorn St. -11.8721
American -11.9149
Charleston Sou. -11.9157
Prairie View A&M -11.9433
N.J.I.T. -11.9509
Central Arkansas -12.0481
TX Rio Grande Valley -12.3477
Nicholls -12.4497
Dartmouth -12.5181
Western Ill. -12.7153
Mass-Lowell -12.7173
Norfolk St. -12.7493
Virginia Military -12.7573
Northern Colorado -12.8013
LIU Brooklyn -12.8817
Florida Intl. -12.9741
Portland St. -13.1297
Binghamton -13.2817
Savannah St. -13.4329
Chicago St. -13.5093
Abilene Christian -13.5369
CSU Northridge -13.7321
MD Eastern Shore -14.1137
CSU Fullerton -14.4141
Incarnate Word -14.4421
Sacramento St. -14.5729
Hampton -14.7573
Jacksonville -15.4417
N’western St. -15.5361
UCSB -15.5721
Stetson -15.5777
S. Carolina St. -15.5977
SIU Edwardsville -15.8353
Sacred Heart -15.8581
Cal Poly -15.9029
Southern Miss -15.9721
Maine -16.0577
UC Riverside -16.1221
Morgan St. -16.9893
North Texas -17.1357
Coppin St. -17.3113
Grambling St. -17.3193
Idaho St. -17.4153
Miss. Valley St. -17.8557
Southern -17.8893
Howard -18.3173
Northern Arizona -18.3349
Jackson St. -18.4597
Lafayette -18.4717
Hartford -19.9045
Alabama St. -20.2913
Delaware St. -21.1157
Southern Utah -21.7913
Longwood -21.8349
Bethune-Cookman -22.4889
AR Pine Bluff -22.5145
Presbyterian -22.9729
Central Conn. St. -23.8469
St. Francis (NY) -25.3525
Florida A&M -26.3249
N.C. A&T -28.1289
Alabama A&M -28.4189
%d bloggers like this: