Weighted Margin is my own analytic ranking system which attempts to rank teams based on their expected future performance. This is not the same as the S-curve ranking, which is used to judge past performance and rank the teams for tournament selection.
Updated: 3/11
| Team | Weighted Margin |
|---|---|
| Virginia | 31.8044 |
| Villanova | 31.578 |
| Duke | 29.0016 |
| N. Carolina | 28.4232 |
| Kansas | 26.9456 |
| Cincinnati | 26.5488 |
| Purdue | 25.3568 |
| Xavier | 25.2812 |
| Tennessee | 24.32 |
| Kentucky | 24.3164 |
| Wichita St. | 23.7372 |
| Auburn | 23.3888 |
| TCU | 22.7056 |
| Michigan St. | 22.6904 |
| Arizona | 22.424 |
| Ohio St. | 22.0352 |
| Clemson | 21.9328 |
| Texas Tech | 21.4876 |
| Nevada | 20.7708 |
| Texas A&M | 20.7204 |
| West Virginia | 20.5036 |
| Florida | 20.2864 |
| Michigan | 19.9304 |
| Gonzaga | 19.618 |
| Seton Hall | 19.2284 |
| Arkansas | 18.9964 |
| Houston | 18.7484 |
| Texas | 18.7044 |
| Butler | 18.4876 |
| Alabama | 18.4152 |
| Missouri | 18.408 |
| Louisville | 18.29 |
| Baylor | 18.0896 |
| USC | 17.8364 |
| Creighton | 17.5916 |
| Arizona St. | 17.3404 |
| Syracuse | 16.8592 |
| UCLA | 16.814 |
| Oklahoma | 16.5672 |
| Miami (FL) | 16.4864 |
| Rhode Island | 16.3804 |
| Notre Dame | 16.1124 |
| Kansas St. | 16.048 |
| Virginia Tech | 15.5068 |
| Florida St. | 15.0544 |
| Maryland | 15.0296 |
| Marquette | 15.012 |
| LSU | 14.8924 |
| Loyola Chicago | 14.8152 |
| N.C. State | 14.6332 |
| Oregon | 14.3804 |
| Utah | 14.3024 |
| Providence | 14.26 |
| Buffalo | 14.2072 |
| Vanderbilt | 14.1512 |
| Oklahoma St. | 14.0156 |
| Penn St. | 13.9156 |
| Georgia | 13.7472 |
| St. Mary’s | 13.6612 |
| South Carolina | 13.44 |
| Middle Tenn. St. | 13.3832 |
| W. Kentucky | 13.3496 |
| Mississippi St. | 13.2604 |
| S. Diego St. | 13.2544 |
| Temple | 13.1948 |
| St. John’s | 12.9576 |
| St. Bonaventure | 12.628 |
| N. Mex. St. | 12.454 |
| Mississippi | 12.3988 |
| Davidson | 12.1928 |
| Boise St. | 11.8172 |
| SMU | 11.7112 |
| Stanford | 11.5856 |
| UCF | 11.082 |
| Wisconsin | 10.9072 |
| Boston Coll. | 10.8756 |
| Nebraska | 10.6336 |
| Washington | 10.516 |
| Murray St. | 9.9048 |
| BYU | 9.8124 |
| Wake Forest | 9.7624 |
| Oregon St. | 9.5796 |
| Colorado | 9.424 |
| Northeastern | 9.3748 |
| Fresno St. | 9.0356 |
| Tulsa | 8.888 |
| Indiana | 8.8784 |
| S. Dakota St. | 8.7652 |
| LA Lafayet. | 8.5572 |
| Old Dominion | 8.45 |
| Iowa St. | 8.4148 |
| Toledo | 8.3128 |
| Northern Iowa | 8.2176 |
| Iowa | 8.0772 |
| DePaul | 7.7352 |
| Belmont | 7.6528 |
| Georgia Tech | 7.5812 |
| Missouri St. | 7.5544 |
| Utah Valley | 7.4488 |
| Illinois St. | 7.174 |
| South Dakota | 7.1416 |
| UNLV | 7.138 |
| Vermont | 7.0284 |
| Furman | 7.012 |
| New Mexico | 6.9 |
| Illinois | 6.7676 |
| Georgetown | 6.6332 |
| Northwestern | 6.6012 |
| Southern Ill. | 6.5372 |
| E. Tennessee St. | 6.4756 |
| Wyoming | 5.996 |
| Connecticut | 5.8336 |
| Montana | 5.5244 |
| Evansville | 5.3876 |
| Minnesota | 5.2948 |
| William & Mary | 5.0288 |
| Indiana St. | 5.0152 |
| N.C. Greensboro | 4.9808 |
| Bradley | 4.742 |
| Rutgers | 4.4256 |
| Grand Canyon | 4.228 |
| UAB | 4.206 |
| Bucknell | 4.1708 |
| VCU | 4.0412 |
| Dayton | 3.7424 |
| Tulane | 3.5056 |
| North. Kentucky | 3.4244 |
| St. Joseph’s | 3.39 |
| Valparaiso | 3.3752 |
| San Francisco | 3.3568 |
| Memphis | 3.3568 |
| Washington St. | 3.2856 |
| Saint Louis | 3.1696 |
| UC Irvine | 3.1008 |
| Marshall | 3.0448 |
| Utah St. | 2.7212 |
| Rider | 2.6592 |
| Charleston | 2.5404 |
| Northern Colorado | 2.4276 |
| San Diego | 2.3388 |
| East. Michigan | 2.3284 |
| TX Arlington | 2.2652 |
| Fla Gulf Coast | 1.992 |
| Georgia St. | 1.8764 |
| Ball St. | 1.872 |
| UC Davis | 1.8232 |
| Iona | 1.6164 |
| Drake | 1.444 |
| Pacific | 1.4124 |
| Hofstra | 1.3796 |
| Towson | 1.3084 |
| La Salle | 1.1384 |
| CSU Fullerton | 0.9888 |
| Wofford | 0.6252 |
| Richmond | 0.6176 |
| Pittsburgh | 0.5012 |
| Mercer | 0.4108 |
| S.F. Austin | 0.3908 |
| Ohio | 0.2664 |
| Kent St. | 0.0868 |
| Cent. Michigan | 0.0304 |
| W. Michigan | 0.008 |
| Monmouth | -0.014 |
| UCSB | -0.0144 |
| Pennsylvania | -0.12 |
| Louisiana Tech | -0.26 |
| Jacksonville St. | -0.2884 |
| Canisius | -0.3248 |
| Idaho | -0.5004 |
| Wright St. | -0.5712 |
| California | -0.66 |
| Eastern Wash. | -0.766 |
| Seattle | -0.7808 |
| Weber St. | -0.7864 |
| Georgia Southern | -0.8048 |
| Miami (OH) | -1.0592 |
| Lipscomb | -1.138 |
| Long Beach St. | -1.4904 |
| Geo. Wash. | -1.5224 |
| Winthrop | -1.5304 |
| Austin Peay | -1.5396 |
| Troy | -1.8124 |
| CSU Bakersfield | -1.8324 |
| Albany | -1.9072 |
| Wagner | -2.0288 |
| Nicholls | -2.106 |
| N. Dak. St. | -2.1372 |
| Harvard | -2.1792 |
| Portland St. | -2.2836 |
| Tennessee St. | -2.3208 |
| Hawaii | -2.612 |
| Oakland | -2.9036 |
| UMBC | -3.0488 |
| IPFW | -3.1424 |
| Colorado St. | -3.1952 |
| N.C. Asheville | -3.2852 |
| UTSA | -3.4608 |
| Bowling Green | -3.7224 |
| Umass | -3.86 |
| Radford | -3.9152 |
| Akron | -3.9548 |
| SE Louisiana | -3.9832 |
| St. Francis (PA) | -4.05 |
| Southern Miss | -4.1512 |
| Fairfield | -4.3556 |
| Liberty | -4.5004 |
| N.C. Wilmington | -4.5476 |
| Tennessee Tech | -4.5844 |
| Central Arkansas | -4.6404 |
| Oral Roberts | -4.7016 |
| Elon | -4.724 |
| Niagara | -4.7564 |
| Delaware | -4.9296 |
| Air Force | -5.0736 |
| North Dakota | -5.0772 |
| Duquesne | -5.1288 |
| James Madison | -5.1468 |
| Stony Brook | -5.1588 |
| Coastal Car. | -5.2592 |
| Morehead St. | -5.3008 |
| Princeton | -5.3292 |
| Yale | -5.5648 |
| North Florida | -5.6876 |
| George Mason | -5.7132 |
| Manhattan | -5.7464 |
| Northern Illinois | -6.006 |
| North Texas | -6.0952 |
| Sam Houston St. | -6.1212 |
| Ill. Chicago | -6.2588 |
| Mo. Kansas City | -6.5068 |
| Appalachian St. | -6.6364 |
| LA Monroe | -6.6364 |
| Drexel | -6.672 |
| Loyola Marymount | -6.6904 |
| Savannah St. | -6.8556 |
| South Florida | -6.9656 |
| TX Rio Grande Valley | -7.0196 |
| UTEP | -7.1716 |
| Western Carolina | -7.2316 |
| Hartford | -7.2568 |
| Robert Morris | -7.342 |
| Denver | -7.3808 |
| Colgate | -7.5592 |
| Lamar | -7.7844 |
| St. Peter’s | -7.822 |
| Portland | -7.9596 |
| Nebraska Omaha | -7.96 |
| Florida Atlantic | -7.9856 |
| Samford | -7.9924 |
| UC Riverside | -8.1952 |
| N.J.I.T. | -8.388 |
| Texas Southern | -8.458 |
| Pepperdine | -8.5268 |
| Texas St. | -8.574 |
| San Jose St. | -8.6652 |
| Milwaukee | -8.7272 |
| South Alabama | -8.9408 |
| Navy | -8.9748 |
| Lehigh | -9.0352 |
| Hampton | -9.046 |
| East Carolina | -9.0892 |
| Eastern Illinois | -9.1424 |
| Santa Clara | -9.2608 |
| High Point | -9.3376 |
| Cornell | -9.3688 |
| Southern Utah | -9.6924 |
| Fordham | -9.8344 |
| Mount St. Mary’s | -9.8716 |
| Boston U. | -9.8972 |
| Columbia | -9.9592 |
| Florida Intl. | -10.0196 |
| Idaho St. | -10.0544 |
| Charleston Sou. | -10.0664 |
| Siena | -10.1104 |
| SE Missouri St. | -10.1292 |
| E. Kentucky | -10.2136 |
| Campbell | -10.3856 |
| Gardner-Webb | -10.546 |
| Prairie View A&M | -10.6116 |
| Chattanooga | -10.6416 |
| Fair. Dickinson | -10.6636 |
| New Orleans | -10.996 |
| Sacramento St. | -11.1204 |
| AR Little Rock | -11.176 |
| Abilene Christian | -11.2504 |
| New Hampshire | -11.3492 |
| Citadel | -11.4176 |
| LIU Brooklyn | -11.4428 |
| Kennesaw St. | -11.6956 |
| Northern Arizona | -11.7096 |
| Arkansas St. | -12.6916 |
| Holy Cross | -12.7324 |
| Army | -12.7484 |
| SIU Edwardsville | -12.7736 |
| Lafayette | -12.7908 |
| Chicago St. | -12.8176 |
| Rice | -12.888 |
| Cleveland St. | -12.9104 |
| McNeese St. | -12.9208 |
| Montana St. | -12.9304 |
| Mass-Lowell | -13.1496 |
| Green Bay | -13.1736 |
| Western Ill. | -13.182 |
| Detroit | -13.4956 |
| Tenn-Martin | -13.502 |
| Brown | -13.5104 |
| Charlotte | -13.612 |
| Cal Poly | -13.7236 |
| Norfolk St. | -13.7628 |
| Quinnipiac | -13.8204 |
| IUPUI | -14.0316 |
| Marist | -14.1684 |
| Virginia Military | -14.21 |
| Sacred Heart | -14.2452 |
| Binghamton | -14.396 |
| Jacksonville | -15.0056 |
| N.C. A&T | -15.3024 |
| Stetson | -15.3396 |
| Central Conn. St. | -15.5304 |
| St. Francis (NY) | -15.6016 |
| Dartmouth | -15.8896 |
| American | -16.0264 |
| Loyola (MD) | -16.1324 |
| Grambling St. | -16.4344 |
| Bethune-Cookman | -16.7712 |
| Youngstown St. | -16.8272 |
| Presbyterian | -17.2216 |
| TAMU Corpus Christi | -17.3444 |
| Southern | -17.4624 |
| N.C. Central | -17.786 |
| Longwood | -17.8576 |
| AR Pine Bluff | -18.086 |
| N’western St. | -18.4496 |
| Houston Baptist | -18.5096 |
| S.Car. Upstate | -18.7252 |
| Alabama St. | -18.8876 |
| CSU Northridge | -18.8892 |
| Morgan St. | -19.2868 |
| Maine | -19.38 |
| S. Carolina St. | -19.6116 |
| Alcorn St. | -20.5088 |
| Florida A&M | -20.7268 |
| Bryant | -20.9664 |
| Howard | -21.0016 |
| Incarnate Word | -21.058 |
| Jackson St. | -21.3148 |
| Coppin St. | -21.472 |
| Miss. Valley St. | -22.1844 |
| MD Eastern Shore | -22.4484 |
| Alabama A&M | -25.6272 |
| Delaware St. | -25.644 |
DAILY BRACKET 