Weighted Margin

Weighted Margin is my own analytic ranking system which attempts to rank teams based on their expected future performance.  This is not the same as the S-curve ranking, which is used to judge past performance and rank the teams for tournament selection.

Updated: 2/20

Team Weighted Margin
Louisville 31.4008
Kentucky 30.9164
Florida 30.1348
Gonzaga 29.8112
Kansas 29.3452
Villanova 28.8696
N. Carolina 28.7744
Baylor 27.348
Virginia 26.3664
Duke 26.1524
Oregon 25.5612
West Virginia 25.2008
Purdue 24.4192
Arizona 23.7552
Florida St. 23.1188
Butler 22.8748
Creighton 22.7388
Oklahoma St. 22.218
St. Mary’s 21.882
Wisconsin 21.83
UCLA 21.6532
Notre Dame 21.3652
Minnesota 21.298
SMU 21.1204
Clemson 21.0728
Cincinnati 21.062
Xavier 21.0188
South Carolina 20.4988
Wake Forest 19.4992
Maryland 19.1928
Michigan 19.0444
Wichita St. 18.9928
Dayton 18.5452
Iowa St. 18.2984
Tennessee 18.2568
Vanderbilt 18.2284
Northwestern 17.8004
Georgia 17.624
California 17.44
VCU 17.4296
Miami (FL) 17.4156
Marquette 17.214
Georgetown 17.158
TCU 16.7152
Indiana 16.5924
Kansas St. 16.52
Michigan St. 16.3356
Pittsburgh 16.1496
Arkansas 16.0108
Rhode Island 15.6052
Houston 15.3236
Illinois 14.8768
Ohio St. 14.7528
Syracuse 14.5224
Texas A&M 14.4676
Virginia Tech 14.2212
USC 14.1876
Nebraska 14.0476
Seton Hall 13.7832
Providence 13.378
Illinois St. 12.9336
Penn St. 12.9184
Middle Tenn. St. 12.7536
Iowa 12.6868
Texas Tech 12.6468
Alabama 12.4708
Georgia Tech 12.3852
Texas 12.2988
N.C. Wilmington 12.1248
Mississippi 12.112
Nevada 11.8252
Stanford 11.7488
Utah 11.3976
N.C. State 10.6396
BYU 10.568
Oklahoma 9.91
S. Diego St. 9.5048
Charleston 9.4132
St. Bonaventure 9.3236
La Salle 9.2824
E. Tennessee St. 9.2156
Auburn 9.1884
Connecticut 9.0892
Mississippi St. 8.9244
Davidson 8.7976
St. John’s 8.75
Colorado St. 8.7232
TX Arlington 8.5988
Boise St. 8.4856
New Mexico 8.2264
UCF 8.2196
San Francisco 7.9456
Colorado 7.8084
Temple 7.5992
Vermont 7.5828
Richmond 7.3496
Princeton 7.2512
Bucknell 6.956
Monmouth 6.6936
Memphis 6.568
George Mason 6.4364
Valparaiso 6.4248
Tulsa 6.1704
N. Mex. St. 6.122
Belmont 6.1204
Ohio 5.9668
N.C. Asheville 5.8872
Chattanooga 5.5316
LSU 5.528
St. Joseph’s 5.3652
Akron 5.2404
Utah St. 5.1024
Arizona St. 5.0348
Loyola Chicago 4.5824
Boston Coll. 4.572
Buffalo 4.4524
Arkansas St. 4.2272
Geo. Wash. 4.22
Towson 4.1468
Winthrop 4.1256
Louisiana Tech 4.0704
Umass 3.9316
Santa Clara 3.9108
Fresno St. 3.6976
William & Mary 3.6428
Lehigh 3.6248
Washington 3.4268
Oakland 3.396
East. Michigan 3.348
Furman 3.2568
Missouri 3.2232
Coastal Car. 3.1892
Rutgers 3.0784
Northern Iowa 2.8916
Loyola Marymount 2.8384
Fla Gulf Coast 2.8356
Mercer 2.5544
Wyoming 2.4548
Marshall 2.4396
LA Lafayet. 2.3304
St. Peter’s 2.2752
Washington St. 2.2284
Toledo 2.1556
Evansville 2.052
CSU Bakersfield 1.9872
N.C. Greensboro 1.8964
N. Dak. St. 1.8624
Elon 1.8044
Old Dominion 1.6784
Northeastern 1.3948
DePaul 1.3504
Southern Ill. 1.2476
Iona 1.2292
Harvard 1.212
Georgia St. 1.2076
Fordham 0.922
Pennsylvania 0.5152
W. Michigan 0.4456
Siena 0.3636
Wofford 0.2272
Albany 0.1884
Georgia Southern 0.0884
Samford 0.0156
Missouri St. -0.0748
South Dakota -0.2452
Morehead St. -0.3528
IPFW -0.392
Duquesne -0.4032
Yale -0.4224
Hofstra -0.642
New Orleans -0.7324
San Jose St. -0.8212
UC Irvine -0.914
Rice -1.0196
Air Force -1.0664
North. Kentucky -1.236
Canisius -1.3248
Wright St. -1.3396
Liberty -1.3528
New Hampshire -1.4196
Green Bay -1.5588
Tennessee St. -1.9568
Grand Canyon -2.0268
East Carolina -2.06
UAB -2.102
Troy -2.128
Navy -2.138
Lipscomb -2.2328
Mo. Kansas City -2.2472
Fairfield -2.4016
Kent St. -2.6148
Cleveland St. -2.642
Pacific -2.7672
UNLV -2.7692
Boston U. -2.7912
Cent. Michigan -3.1876
Indiana St. -3.2196
Bradley -3.3312
San Diego -3.466
Denver -3.6404
Stony Brook -3.6636
Ball St. -3.7724
Nebraska Omaha -3.8836
Texas Southern -3.8972
Weber St. -3.9432
Oregon St. -3.9692
James Madison -4.1396
Holy Cross -4.1636
North Dakota -4.2096
Murray St. -4.3428
Appalachian St. -4.424
South Alabama -4.4784
S. Dakota St. -4.5384
UMBC -4.6732
Mount St. Mary’s -4.6772
Utah Valley -5.35
Houston Baptist -5.5656
Radford -5.6148
Tulane -5.6712
N.C. Central -5.7508
Montana -5.7848
Eastern Wash. -5.8112
Tenn-Martin -5.8916
Jacksonville St. -6.0652
Charlotte -6.2292
Drake -6.3032
TAMU Corpus Christi -6.3156
Loyola (MD) -6.3188
Portland -6.3244
LA Monroe -6.3712
Western Carolina -6.4604
Northern Illinois -6.5708
Drexel -6.5904
Rider -6.6004
Sam Houston St. -6.6908
Bowling Green -6.8852
IUPUI -6.904
Texas St. -6.914
Long Beach St. -7.0316
Pepperdine -7.0608
W. Kentucky -7.1248
Oral Roberts -7.1584
Ill. Chicago -7.2596
Gardner-Webb -7.386
Columbia -7.4128
UTEP -7.6444
Saint Louis -7.7712
S.Car. Upstate -7.8612
AR Little Rock -7.9836
High Point -8.2496
Manhattan -8.2916
E. Kentucky -8.3704
South Florida -8.4796
Tennessee Tech -8.6296
Army -8.9104
Quinnipiac -8.9244
Brown -9.0508
Seattle -9.1476
S.F. Austin -9.1896
Eastern Illinois -9.4748
Delaware -9.5976
Idaho -9.6336
Marist -9.6388
Montana St. -9.6808
Cornell -9.8652
North Florida -9.88
Milwaukee -9.9084
Austin Peay -9.9988
Niagara -10.1196
Detroit -10.438
Robert Morris -10.4832
Central Arkansas -10.5608
Fair. Dickinson -10.576
St. Francis (PA) -10.5932
Wagner -10.6768
Bryant -10.898
Colgate -10.9544
Miami (OH) -10.9612
McNeese St. -11.0876
SE Missouri St. -11.0888
Youngstown St. -11.1756
Florida Atlantic -11.2752
Lamar -11.3704
Binghamton -11.4532
SE Louisiana -11.5672
Citadel -11.6392
Hawaii -11.7432
Prairie View A&M -11.8428
Kennesaw St. -11.96
UC Davis -12.0024
Norfolk St. -12.0404
Virginia Military -12.3244
Alcorn St. -12.4372
TX Rio Grande Valley -12.5708
CSU Northridge -12.5728
MD Eastern Shore -12.6088
American -12.6888
Portland St. -12.7164
Mass-Lowell -12.7316
N.J.I.T. -12.8556
Charleston Sou. -12.9368
Nicholls -13.134
Campbell -13.2656
Abilene Christian -13.3228
UTSA -13.7184
Sacramento St. -13.9252
Northern Colorado -13.9352
LIU Brooklyn -13.9424
Dartmouth -13.948
Florida Intl. -14.3604
Western Ill. -14.3868
Incarnate Word -14.506
Savannah St. -14.9932
Chicago St. -15.022
Hampton -15.2156
Jacksonville -15.4624
S. Carolina St. -15.4624
North Texas -15.5228
UC Riverside -15.9292
Sacred Heart -16.1076
UCSB -16.2912
CSU Fullerton -16.3536
Coppin St. -16.4912
Idaho St. -16.5196
Cal Poly -16.5204
Maine -16.6292
Morgan St. -16.856
SIU Edwardsville -17.1212
N’western St. -17.3372
Stetson -17.3664
Southern -17.4448
Jackson St. -17.5872
Southern Miss -18.1712
Lafayette -18.7304
Howard -19.036
Miss. Valley St. -19.334
AR Pine Bluff -19.3548
Hartford -19.6804
Alabama St. -20.1088
Grambling St. -20.1152
Northern Arizona -20.1204
Delaware St. -20.3112
Longwood -21.9104
Central Conn. St. -22.7896
Southern Utah -22.844
Presbyterian -23.7324
St. Francis (NY) -25.1472
Florida A&M -25.1516
Bethune-Cookman -25.3468
N.C. A&T -29.1136
Alabama A&M -30.0596

 

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