|16||Robert Morris/Lafayette||16||North Florida|
|12||Buffalo||12||Stephen F Austin|
|11||Ohio St/BYU||11||Oklahoma St/Miami (FL)|
|15||New Mexico St||15||Coastal Carolina|
|16||North Dakota St/Hampton||16||Manhattan|
|9||Cincinnati||9||San Diego St|
|13||UC Irvine||13||Georgia St|
|Last 4 In||In Today||Out Today||By Conference|
|Miami (FL)||BYU||Tulsa||ACC – 7|
|Oklahoma St||Buffalo||CMU||Big 12 – 7|
|Ohio St||Hampton||Delaware St||Big 10 – 6|
|BYU||Big East – 6|
|SEC – 5|
|First 4 Out||AAC – 3|
|Boise St||Pac 12 – 3|
|Indiana||Atl 10 – 3|
|Tulsa||MWC – 3|
|Texas A&M||MVC – 2|
I’ve tried to account for Tulsa’s loss to SE Oklahoma St by adding a bad loss to their schedule and recalculating their S-curve ranking. That change moves them outside of the field, and moves BYU in.
If UConn wins this afternoon, I have them as a 12 seed, moving Wyoming up to an 11 seed, and moving BYU out of the field. I have Dayton as the team that would be added to the First Four in this scenario.
For this afternoon’s Big 10 championship game, I have Wisconsin staying as a #1 seed if they win. If they lose, I believe Duke will be moved to the #1 seed in the South, Wisconsin will be the #2 seed in the South, and UVA will be the #2 seed in the East.
One last thing, I know that Boise St won the regular season MWC championship and had a good season, but their non-conference schedule strength ranking is 257. Don’t be shocked if they are left out of the field, since the committee has emphasized this over and over again over the years.