Marshall in, BYU out.
Marshall will most likely be out with a loss in tomorrow’s CUSA championship game, so I don’t see them ultimately getting an at-large bid.
There is zero chance that Drexel will be given an at-large bid on Sunday. I will eat my computer if that happens. Seriously, I will give up this blog and never try to predict the tournament selections ever again. Selecting Drexel would go against everything the committee has talked about regarding schedule strength for at least the last 10 years, if not more. I don’t know what’s going on at ESPN, Lunardi should know better. Katz and Gotttlieb started campaigning for a 2-bid CAA about a month ago. The league is way down this year. Drexel’s overall and non-conference SOS are both around 220. There is no way they get selected.
Look for UVA to have a seeding much lower than most predict. Their non-conference SOS is terrible, they only have 6 healthy scholarship players, and they don’t have that many good wins. I have them at 12 now, just outside the play-in games.
One question I’ve had regarding this year’s selections is how strong Conference USA is perceived by the committee. Are they at the same level as the Missouri Valley or the Pac 12, or more like the Horizon League or the West Coast Conference? Right now, I have them at the same level as the Pac 12. I may change that before Sunday, which would drop Memphis and Southern Miss about one seed each.