Archive for December, 2011

December 31st Bracket

East Southeast
1 Syracuse 1 Ohio St
16 Albany/Coastal Carolina 16 Lehigh
Columbus Pittsburgh
8 St Marys 8 Florida
9 Iona 9 Temple
4 Mississippi St 4 Seton Hall
13 Virginia/Oklahoma 13 Creighton
Columbus Nashville
5 Northern Iowa 5 Murray St
12 Purdue 12 Virginia Tech
3 Wisconsin 3 Missouri
14 Norfolk St 14 Wagner
Albuquerque Omaha
6 Alabama 6 Michigan
11 St Josephs 11 Ohio
7 West Virginia 7 Southern Miss
10 Memphis 10 San Diego St
Greensboro Nashville
2 North Carolina 2 Louisville
15 Oral Roberts 15 Belmont
Southwest West
1 Duke 1 Kentucky
16 Miss Valley St/VCU 16 Montana
Greensboro Louisville
8 Kansas St 8 Wichita St
9 Xavier 9 Denver
4 UNLV 4 Kansas
13 Mississippi/Northwestern 13 Arizona
Omaha Portland
5 Illinois 5 Marquette
12 California 12 Indiana
3 Georgetown 3 Michigan St
14 Davidson 14 Harvard
Louisville Portland
6 Vanderbilt 6 Dayton
11 Marshall 11 Long Beach St
7 Minnesota 7 Gonzaga
10 Cleveland St 10 NC State
Albuquerque Pittsburgh
2 Baylor 2 Connecticut
15 Lamar 15 New Mexico St
In The Mix In Today Out Today By Conference
BYU Arizona Florida St Big Ten – 9
Colorado St Albany Vermont Big East – 7
Charleston SEC – 6
Iowa St ACC – 5
Stanford Big 12 – 5
New Mexico Atlantic 10 – 4
TCU
MVC – 3
Miami (FL) CUSA – 3
Pittsburgh MWC – 2
WCC – 2
Pac 12 – 2

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December 30th Bracket

 

East Southeast
1 Syracuse 1 Ohio St
16 Vermont/Coastal Carolina 16 Lehigh
Columbus Pittsburgh
8 Denver 8 Wichita St
9 Ohio 9 Temple
4 Murray St 4 Mississippi St
13 Creighton/Northwestern 13 Oklahoma/Indiana
Columbus Omaha
5 Vanderbilt 5 Marquette
12 Virginia Tech 12 NC State
3 Michigan St 3 Missouri
14 Norfolk St 14 Wagner
Louisville Omaha
6 West Virginia 6 Southern Miss
11 San Diego St 11 Florida St
7 Alabama 7 Minnesota
10 Memphis 10 Cleveland St
Greensboro Nashville
2 North Carolina 2 Louisville
15 Oral Roberts 15 Belmont
Southwest West
1 Kentucky 1 Duke
16 VCU 16 Miss Valley St/Montana
Louisville Greensboro
8 Dayton 8 St Marys
9 Iona 9 Florida
4 UNLV 4 Kansas
13 Long Beach St 13 St Josephs
Albuquerque Portland
5 Michigan 5 Northern Iowa
12 Marshall 12 Purdue
3 Georgetown 3 Wisconsin
14 California 14 Davidson
Nashville Portland
6 Illinois 6 Seton Hall
11 Mississippi 11 Harvard
7 Gonzaga 7 Kansas St
10 Virginia 10 Xavier
Albuquerque Pittsburgh
2 Baylor 2 Connecticut
15 Lamar 15 New Mexico St
In The Mix In Today Out Today By Conference
Arizona Memphis BYU Big Ten – 9
Charleston California Arizona Big East – 7
Miami (FL) Lehigh Bucknell ACC – 6
Colorado St SEC – 6
Iowa St Big 12 – 5
TCU Atlantic 10 – 4
New Mexico
MVC – 3
Stanford CUSA – 3
BYU MWC – 2
WCC – 2


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December 29th Bracket

East Southeast
1 Syracuse 1 Ohio St
16 Vermont/Coastal Carolina 16 Bucknell
Columbus Pittsburgh
8 Michigan 8 Ohio
9 Dayton 9 Denver
4 Northern Iowa 4 Florida
13 BYU/Northwestern 13 NC State/Indiana
Albuquerque Louisville
5 Mississippi St 5 Southern Miss
12 Virginia Tech 12 Xavier
3 Georgetown 3 Missouri
14 Norfolk St 14 Oral Roberts
Nashville Omaha
6 Illinois 6 Seton Hall
11 San Diego St 11 Virginia
7 Kansas St 7 Murray St
10 Marshall 10 Purdue
Greensboro Nashville
2 North Carolina 2 Louisville
15 Wagner 15 VCU
West Southwest
1 Duke 1 Kentucky
16 Miss Valley St/Montana 16 Belmont
Greensboro Louisville
8 Wichita St 8 Iona
9 Temple 9 St Marys
4 Michigan St 4 Kansas
13 Arizona 13 Long Beach St
Columbus Portland
5 Alabama 5 UNLV
12 Cleveland St 12 Creighton
3 Marquette 3 Wisconsin
14 Harvard 14 Davidson
Omaha Portland
6 Gonzaga 6 West Virginia
11 Florida St 11 Oklahoma
7 Minnesota 7 Vanderbilt
10 Mississippi 10 St. Josephs
Albuquerque Pittsburgh
2 Baylor 2 Connecticut
15 Lamar 15 New Mexico St
In The Mix In Today Out Today By Conference
California St Marys Charleston Big Ten – 9
Colorado St BYU Indiana St Big East – 7
LSU ACC – 6
Iowa St SEC – 6
Indiana St Big 12 – 5
New Mexico Atlantic 10 – 4
Charleston
MVC – 3
Miami (FL) WCC – 3
Pittsburgh MWC – 2
Saint Louis CUSA – 2

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December 28th Bracket

East Southeast
1 Syracuse 1 Ohio St
16 Vermont/Coastal Carolina 16 Bucknell
Columbus Pittsburgh
8 Ohio 8 Vanderbilt
9 Michigan 9 Denver
4 Northern Iowa 4 Georgetown
13 Charleston/Mississippi 13 Davidson
Columbus Louisville
5 UNLV 5 Southern Miss
12 Virginia Tech 12 San Diego St
3 Missouri 3 Florida
14 Wagner 14 Norfolk St
Omaha Nashville
6 Alabama 6 Indiana
11 Temple 11 Oklahoma
7 Illinois 7 Murray St
10 Marshall 10 Virginia
Greensboro Pittsburgh
2 North Carolina 2 Connecticut
15 VCU 15 New Mexico St
West Southwest
1 Kentucky 1 Louisville
16 Belmont 16 Miss Valley St/Montana
Louisville Nashville
8 Wichita St 8 Iona
9 St. Josephs 9 Dayton
4 Michigan St 4 Kansas
13 Long Beach St 13 Purdue/Indiana St
Albuquerque Omaha
5 Seton Hall 5 Mississippi St
12 NC State 12 Arizona
3 Marquette 3 Wisconsin
14 Harvard 14 Cleveland St
Portland Portland
6 Gonzaga 6 Kansas St
11 Northwestern 11 Xavier
7 Minnesota 7 West Virginia
10 Florida St 10 Creighton
Albuquerque Greensboro
2 Baylor 2 Duke
15 Lamar 15 Oral Roberts
In The Mix In Today Out Today By Conference
St Marys Big Ten – 9
LSU Big East – 7
Colorado St ACC – 6
BYU SEC – 6
California Big 12 – 5
Iowa St Atlantic 10 – 4
Memphis
MVC – 4
Miami MWC – 2
Saint Louis CUSA – 2
Pittsburgh Southern – 2

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December 26th Bracket

East Southeast
1 Syracuse 1 Ohio St
16 Belmont 16 Bucknell
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh
8 Dayton 8 Vanderbilt
9 Creighton 9 Denver
4 Michigan St 4 Northern Iowa
13 Charleston/Indiana St 13 Davidson
Columbus Albuquerque
5 Mississippi St 5 Seton Hall
12 Long Beach St 12 Oklahoma
3 Missouri 3 Marquette
14 Norfolk St 14 Wagner
Omaha Portland
6 UNLV 6 Alabama
11 Mississippi 11 NC State
7 Indiana 7 Murray St
10 Marshall 10 Illinois
Greensboro Albuquerque
2 North Carolina 2 Baylor
15 VCU 15 New Mexico St
West Southwest
1 Kentucky 1 Louisville
16 Vermont/Coastal Carolina 16 Miss Valley St/Montana
Nashville Nashville
8 Wichita St 8 Ohio
9 Virginia 9 St. Josephs
4 Georgetown 4 Kansas
13 Arizona 13 Purdue/San Diego St
Louisville Omaha
5 Southern Miss 5 Minnesota
12 Northwestern 12 Virginia Tech
3 Wisconsin 3 Florida
14 Harvard 14 Cleveland St
Portland Louisville
6 Gonzaga 6 Kansas St
11 Temple 11 Xavier
7 Iona 7 West Virginia
10 Florida St 10 Michigan
Columbus Greensboro
2 Connecticut 2 Duke
15 Lamar 15 Oral Roberts
In The Mix In Today Out Today By Conference
St Marys Big Ten – 9
St Louis Big East – 7
Pittsburgh ACC – 6
LSU SEC – 6
Colorado St Big 12 – 5
BYU Atlantic 10 – 4
California
MVC – 4
Iowa St MWC – 2
Memphis CUSA – 2
Southern – 2

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Review of Last Year’s Bracket and Changes to S-Curve Formula for 2011-2012

The biggest change to this year’s formula is the addition of non-conference strength of schedule.  After leaving off Colorado and Virginia Tech from last year’s tournament, the committee repeatedly emphasized that these 2 teams did not have a strong non-conference schedule.  With the addition of non-conference strength of schedule, this year’s formula is even more heavily weighted towards schedule strength than last year’s.  As a result you will see some unlikely teams seeded high in this bracket, those teams that have played difficult schedules so far.

The other controversy from last year’s bracket was some highly unexpected seeding around the 7-12 seeds.  This is what we see when comparing the brackets of bracket experts listed in the bracket matrix to the actual bracket created by the committee last year:

UCLA (7 seed) – Only 4 brackets had UCLA as high as a 7 seed
Michigan (8 seed) – Nobody had Michigan as high as an 8, only 11 brackets had them as a 9
Butler (8 seed) – 2 brackets had Butler at 8, only 12 as a 9
Old Dominion (9 seed) – 6 brackets had ODU worse than 8, 13 at 8, all others better
Georgia (10 seed) – 2 brackets had Georgia as a 10 or better, only 9 brackets at 11, all others 12 or out
Missouri (11 seed) – Only 1 bracket had Missouri at 11, 3 as a 10, all others better
Marquette (11 seed) – Only 10 brackets had Marquette at 11 or worse
Utah St (12 seed) – Only 4 brackets had Utah St at 11, all others better
Richmond (12 seed) – Only 4 brackets had Richmond at 12

Daily Bracket is only as good as the committee is consistent.  The S-Curve Formula is based on previous years’ brackets to give a score to various aspects of a team’s profile and rank them according to the formula.  The seeding in last year’s bracket was not in line with past years’ brackets.  If the committee comes up with some wacky seeding this year, then the Daily Bracket may not be around in the future.

Even though the seeding in the tournament was off, the Daily Bracket did correctly pick 2 teams in the bracket that most had left off (VCU and UAB).  The 2 teams that the formula did not get right, Clemson and USC, were among the last 4 teams left off the final Daily Bracket.

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